Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.031538 0.037009 0.043052 0.050210 0.058441 0.067598 0.078541
2025-04-20 0.023962 0.031216 0.039999 0.051362 0.065612 0.082826 0.105121
2025-04-27 0.018900 0.027008 0.037651 0.052512 0.072575 0.098545 0.134502
2025-05-04 0.014420 0.022446 0.033787 0.050753 0.075215 0.108868 0.158247
2025-05-11 0.011505 0.019357 0.031215 0.050083 0.078909 0.120728 0.185242
2025-05-18 0.009126 0.016523 0.028413 0.048440 0.080703 0.129816 0.209075
2025-05-25 0.007416 0.014381 0.026243 0.047297 0.082892 0.139483 0.234566
2025-06-01 0.006304 0.013020 0.025078 0.047522 0.087146 0.152623 0.266632
2025-06-08 0.005205 0.011445 0.023244 0.046246 0.088593 0.161215 0.292037
2025-06-15 0.004757 0.011039 0.023458 0.048638 0.096662 0.181618 0.339056
2025-06-22 0.004116 0.010099 0.022481 0.048615 0.100274 0.194568 0.374344
2025-06-29 0.003446 0.008949 0.020883 0.047109 0.100846 0.202036 0.400460
2025-07-06 0.002914 0.008017 0.019607 0.046126 0.102423 0.211722 0.432015
2025-07-13 0.002705 0.007815 0.019895 0.048490 0.111026 0.235584 0.492429
2025-07-20 0.002477 0.007518 0.019915 0.050266 0.118619 0.258212 0.552548
2025-07-27 0.002097 0.006731 0.018641 0.048917 0.119352 0.267220 0.586721
2025-08-03 0.001821 0.006163 0.017799 0.048442 0.121919 0.280169 0.629911
2025-08-10 0.001540 0.005507 0.016611 0.046933 0.121930 0.287716 0.662599
2025-08-17 0.001320 0.004979 0.015661 0.045865 0.122809 0.297156 0.700020
2025-08-24 0.001178 0.004666 0.015243 0.046105 0.126834 0.313832 0.754314
2025-08-31 0.001007 0.004211 0.014331 0.044875 0.127070 0.321990 0.790607
2025-09-07 0.000961 0.004184 0.014689 0.047207 0.136589 0.352291 0.878783
2025-09-14 0.000857 0.003912 0.014242 0.047188 0.140013 0.368629 0.936538